Category Archives: Real Estate (Market info)

This Category features Charleston area market data and information

U.S. Home Prices Rose for the Sixth Month in a Row, per Case-Shiller 20-City house price index

Home prices in the 20 biggest U.S. metros rose for the sixth month in a row, as the housing market continues to deal with a shortage of homes for sale.

The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-city house price index rose 1% in August, as compared with the previous month.

On a year-over-year basis, home prices in the 20 major metro markets in the U.S. were up 2.2% nationally.

A broader measure of home prices, the national index, rose on a month-over-month basis in August by 0.9%, but rose 2.6% over the past year. All numbers are seasonally adjusted.

Key details: Chicago posted the strongest year-over-year home-price gains in the month of August, at 5%. It was the fourth month in a row that the city led the rankings.

New York and Detroit followed, up 4.98% and 4.8% respectively.

The West continued to lag behind the rest of the country: Home prices fell in Las Vegas and Phoenix the most.

CitiesChange from last year
Atlanta3.4%
Boston3.1%
Charlotte3%
Chicago5%
Cleveland3.9%
Dallas-1.7%
Denver-0.6%
Detroit4.8%
Las Vegas-4.9%
Los Angeles3.2%
Miami3.3%
Minneapolis1.9%
New York5%
Phoenix-3.9%
Portland-1.5%
San Diego4.1%
San Francisco-2.5%
Seattle-1.5%
Tampa0%
Washington3.4%
Composite-202.2%

separate report from the Federal Housing Finance Agency also showed home prices rose in August, up 0.6% from July.

And over the last year, the FHFA index was up 5.6%.

Home prices were the strongest in the Middle Atlantic region, according to the government’s data.

Big picture: With homeowners not keen on selling their homes, the U.S. housing market will continue to face a shortage of homes for sale, and by extension, see home prices rise. Interested buyers continue to converge on limited inventory.

Until supply catches up, barring any major events, we’re not likely to see a big movement in home prices.

What S&P said: “On a year-to-date basis, the National Composite has risen 5.8%, which is well above the median full calendar year increase in more than 35 years of data,” said Craig J. Lazzara, managing director at S&P DJI.

“The year’s increase in mortgage rates has surely suppressed housing demand, but after years of very low rates, it seems to have suppressed supply even more,” he added.

“Unless higher rates or other events lead to general economic weakness, the breadth and strength of this month’s report are consistent with an optimistic view of future results,” Lazzara said.

What are they saying? “Another large gain in house prices in August suggests that the extremely limited supply of existing homes for sale continued to outweigh high mortgage rates,” Thomas Ryan, property economist at Capital Economics, wrote in a note.

“We think monthly gains in house prices will soften over the remainder of the year in response to the rise in mortgage rates to just under 8.0%. But an extreme lack of inventory in the existing homes market means we don’t anticipate any further house price falls,” he added.

Market reaction: Stocks were up in early trading on Tuesday. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note fell below 4.9%.

Info from Realtor.com

Gena Glaze

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NEXTON, Summerville SC, Awarded “Residential Housing Community of the Year” – Grand Aurora Award At 2023 Southeast Building Conference

 Nexton, the most innovative and walkable community in South Carolina, received the Grand Aurora Award in the category “Residential Housing Community of the Year – Masterplan,” at the 2023 Southeast Building Conference. The conference was held on July 21 at the Rosen Centre Hotel in Orlando, Fla.

This award is a testament to Nexton’s dedication to providing residents with environments that allow them to inspire, connect and thrive, and we are incredibly proud to be recognized,” says Cassie Cataline, marketing director at Nexton. “As a lifestyle-driven destination, we strive to blend thoughtful design, innovative technology and modern conveniences to attract numerous homebuyers, renters, businesses and visitors each year.”

Established by the Florida Home Builders Association in 1979, the Aurora Awards recognize outstanding projects from across the Southeast during the annual Southeast Building Conference Featuring 60 categories, the Aurora Awards encompass all facets of the residential, commercial and remodeling industries.

A jury of four acclaimed designers and builders met in May 2023 to select winning projects from a competition of nearly 400 entries. The Grand Award is the highest award an entry can receive in each category.

Celebrating the 10th anniversary of the community’s 2013 groundbreaking, Nexton is a lifestyle-driven destination that artfully blends the best of live, work and play by offering conveniences such as state-of-the-art schools, modern infrastructure, 20 miles of trails and 2,000 acres of green space. The community’s four residential neighborhoods include apartments, built-for-rent homes, townhomes and a variety of for-sale single-family homes that cater to first-time buyers, executives and 55+ retirees. Nexton has currently sold over 2,600 homes.

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Gena Glaze

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October 2023 Stats – Charleston SC Real Estate

MLS data – Inventory remained low in October with just 2.13 months of inventory and the median sales price continues on a similar track at just over 400k,

Median Sale Price for October 2023 was $407,093, YTD – $404,981 Absorption Rate – 2.13 (Months of Inventory) YTD – 1.9 Median Days on Market was 15

More detail below.

Summary Statistics
Oct-23Oct-22% Chg2023 YTD2022 YTD% Chg
Absorption Rate2.181.9213.541.91.2255.74
Average List Price$844,051$720,11317.21$670,210$613,6539.22
Median List Price$469,900$436,2547.71$425,000$410,0003.66
Average Sale Price$621,930$561,44610.77$577,168$552,8894.39
Median Sale Price$407,093$400,0001.77$404,981$398,8901.53
Average CDOM352920.69412286.36
Median CDOM151315.38155200.00

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Charleston Real Estate Update – October 2023

Written sales market wide in September 2023 finished 6% below September of ‘2022.

  • Based on interest rates remaining higher, it is anticipated that the second half of the year will be similar to the first half of the year with sales in the -15% year-over-year range
  • Carolina One finished the month with written sales 21 points OVER the market.
  • Last week saw 266 properties go under contract, a “normal” number for this time of year but far below the pandemic years of 2020 and 2021. See chart Below – Sales (green line) still remain remarkably close to the 15 year average (blue line) and have for about three and a half months. The orange line represents ratified contracts by week last year…the green line is this year…and the blue line is the 15 year average for each week. Follow the green line below.

Mortgage rates remain elevated, which can hold back sales levels.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MORTGAGE30US

  • It is speculated that 6.5% could be the “magic number”; to increase activity. When 30 year mortgage rates trend below that number and stay there for a reasonable period of time, more buyers may come off of the sidelines and resale listing inventory will start to come back online at a higher rate than what we are seeing currently.

The Median sale price in the Charleston market continues to stay in a tight band between $400k and $420k where it has been for most of the last 18 months.

Active Inventory stands at 2,850 listings. While this level of inventory is a significant increase over the listing “floor” that we set in February of 2022, We still need roughly 4,100 additional listings market wide to achieve a balanced market (5 months of inventory).

How Mortgage rates effect inventory: About 60% of properties have a mortgage. Of the 60% that have a mortgage, 90% of those mortgages have an interest rate below 5%. Many owners are reluctant to trade their lower interest rates for current market rates.

The Charleston market has about six or seven weeks of inventory as a whole, although this can vary some by price range and specific location. It is still a seller’s market. The most active areas have inventory levels in the 4-8 week range.

Gena Glaze 843-343-8239

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Charleston Area Real Estate – Market Watch Videos – October 2023

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National Home Price Growth Prediction for Year End 2023

Nationally, It has been speculated that home prices would crash this year, but prices aren’t in a downward spiral and may actually finish the year strong. This is mainly due to the supply of homes for sale being too low. There are just more buyers looking to buy than homes available and that’s kept prices from falling.

Most Experts Project Home Prices Will Net Positive this Year

The general consensus from industry experts is that home price appreciation will actually be positive for 2023. The graph below shows the latest 2023 year-end forecasts from six different organizations:

The majority of experts are optimistic about home price growth.

The projection from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) is for a slight decline and if you average all six forecasts together, the expectation is that prices will net somewhere around 3.3% positive growth for the year.

One of the six forecasts represented in the graph is the Home Price Expectation Survey (HPES) from Pulsenomics. It combines survey results from over 100 economists, investment strategists, and housing market analysts. The HPES found that the average from all 100 of those experts is 3.3% price growth for the year.

While individual forecasts may vary, both the HPES survey and the average of these forecasts predict positive growth.

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Carnes Crossroads Breaking Ground on New Amenities

Agrihood site to include fitness, lake house, water slide and sports courts

A Charleston-area master-planned community where 3,600 homes will be built at completion will break ground in the fall on several new amenities.

Coming to Carnes Crossroads in Goose Creek will be a 10-acre farm with organically grown products, a barn to pick up produce, community house near Lake Hewitt, fitness center, pool with a slide tower, and courts for tennis, pickleball and half-court basketball.

A product of Boston-based Freehold Communities, the development with 700 homes on the ground as of Sept. 15, features more than 9 miles of walking trails, schools and monthly farmers markets with Lowcountry vendors. The 2,300-acre Carnes Crossroads community is approved for about 4,500 homes.

“The central component of the barn within our Amenity Center encourages our vision for a vibrant, healthy and connected lifestyle for our residents,” said Gerrit Albert, Freehold’s division president for South Carolina and Georgia. “The addition of these community spaces will foster a sense of togetherness and engagement that is central to our Agrihood mission.”

Post and Courier Article

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Charleston Real Estate -Market Update – 9-18-23

Here is what is worth knowing today:

(1) Written sales market wide finished 13% less in August of ’23 versus August of ’22.

  • It was anticipated that sales would be -15% for the year (versus 2022) with the first half of the year being much worse than -15% and the back half of the year being better than -15%
  • Based on interest rates remaining stubbornly and persistently high, we are now anticipating that the second half of the year will be similar to the first half of the year with sales in the -15% year-over-year range

(2) Last week saw 239 properties go under contract, a very “normal” number for this time of year but far below the “juiced up” pandemic years of 2020 and 2021. Sales (green line) have remained remarkably close to the 15 year average (blue line) for about three and a half months.

The orange line represents ratified contracts by week last year…the green line is this year…and the blue line is the 15 year average for each week.

(3)  Mortgage rates remaining elevated is holding back sales.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MORTGAGE30US

4)  The Median sale price in the Charleston market continues to stay in a tight band between $400k and $420k where it has been for most of the last 16 months.

(5) Active Inventory stands at 2,510 listings. We haven’t seen much inventory growth this summer and inventory typically starts a slow seasonal decline in September or October. It is believed this may likely put upward pressure on prices, or at the very least hold prices steady.

While this level of inventory is a significant increase over the 1,035 listing “floor” that we set in February of 2022:

  • Roughly an additional 5,500 listings is needed market wide to achieve a balanced market (5 months of inventory)
  • The gap between the number of listings available for sale and the number of listings needed to maintain a balanced market is substantial. The chart below is an attempt to express this visually.

(6) The number of new listings taken in August was even with the same month a year prior for the first time in two years, but inventory still remains low.

7) The Charleston market has about six or seven weeks of inventory as a whole, still solidly a seller’s market (this can vary by price range and specific location). The most active areas have inventory levels in the 3-6 week range.

(8) New construction represents 46% of all pending contracts in the MLS and new construction comprises about 32% of the closings.

  • New Homes “pendings” will always be higher than new homes closings as new construction typically sits in pending status for far longer than a resale, and the new homes tend to “pile up” in pending status, so new homes actually represent about 32% of the sales market currently
  • New homes represent 33% of the available inventory, currently.

(9) Foreclosures and Short Sales continue to hold at a combined .6% of all available listings currently. This is down from 1.8% of all available listings on 1/1/2020. This market has very few “newly distressed” properties in the pipeline.

  • “Serious delinquencies fell to the lowest level since August 2006; the July delinquency rate was negligibly higher than the lowest level ever recorded.” – Black Knight Mortgage Monitor statement from two weeks ago.
  • Record home equity is driving the low delinquency rate along with high levels of employment.

(10) We are at roughly double the monthly pre-pandemic sales levels of $1MM+ properties. This market segment remains surprisingly robust.

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Down Payment Assistance.

SC Housing has down payment assistance for buyer’s who Qualify. The assistance is forgivable after 15 years.

The home sales price and income limit recently increased. Currently, the sales price limit is $395,000 for most SC counties. The income limit for for 1 or 2 person households in Berkeley County is now $121,500 and for households of 3 or more people, it is $141,820. The chart below shows the various counties and income limits.

2023 INCOME AND PRICE LIMITS CHART

USDA Loans – for Rural & Suburban Homebuyers

USDA has a no Down Payment program for qualifying properties and buyers. USDA has competitive rates and Flexible Credit Guidelines

PROPERTY ELIGIBILTY – LOOK UP

INCOME LIMIT LOOK UP

For More information, Contact

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Repair Your Home Now – Pay at Closing?

With our connection with Contractors on Call, I can help you work out the details of home repairs without paying until you close your home! Very Convenient!

Contractors on Call, powered by Punchlist, has fast and free estimates, their work offers a transferable warranty and they have all licensed trades under one roof. This can be a convenient option for homeowners looking to sell their property.

Contact me for more information.

Gena Glaze


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