Joseph S. Daning Amphitheater Opening Soon in Goose Creek SC

Located behind City Hall beside the Recreation Complex, the new Joseph S. Daning Amphitheater opens Sept. 6, 2024. 

With exciting amenities including a food truck court, eat-in pavilion, stage-front dance floor, public restroom facility, and lakeside views, the Amphitheater encourages people to gather as a community and enjoy a variety of public performances.

Gena Glaze

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Where High-Earning Households Are Moving – 2024 Study – SC #4

 SmartAsset examined the latest IRS data to find where households earning $200,000 annually or more are moving.

North Carolina and South Carolina ranked third and fourth for most high-earning households moving in, with a net gain of 5,792 and 5,270 households, respectively. The average household income of high-earning households moving in is $456,000 for North Carolina and $501,000 for South Carolina. 

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America’s Top States for Business 2024 – SC Ranks No. 19

The Palmetto State finished No. 19 in the 2024 America’s Top States for Business list released by cable news network CNBC. That’s up from a No. 27 finish in 2023 — and far better than its 36th-place showing two years ago and its No. 39 ranking in 2021.

CNBC gave South Carolina grade A scores in several categories, citing its low corporate tax rate and utility costs and the increasing value of goods shipped by air, water, roads and rail.

Last year SC had $9.22 billion in economic development announcements. The Port of Charleston also helped boost South Carolina’s standing as it contributes an $87 billion economic impact each year.

Charleston Port is the country’s eighth-busiest seaport and is boasted as the deepest harbor on the East Coast, efficiently working mega container ships.

Gena Glaze

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Mortgage Rates Down a Full Percent from Recent High

After the latest reports on the economy, inflation, the unemployment rate, and the Federal Reserve’s recent comments, mortgage rates started dropping. And according to Freddie Mac, they’re now at a level we haven’t seen since February – see graph below:

The Relationship Between Rates and Demand 

In the housing market, there’s generally a relationship between mortgage rates and buyer demand. As rates go down, buyer demand typically increases. Buyers who were on the fence over higher rates may resume their searches.

A recent article from Bankrate says:

If you’re ready to buy, now might be the time to strike. Home prices have been rising primarily because of a longstanding shortage of homes for sale. That’s unlikely to change, and if mortgage rates do fall below 6%, it’s possible buyers would enter the market in masse, further pushing up prices and resurrecting bidding wars.”

If you’re ready to start the process, I’d love to help! Feel Free to contact me anytime!

Gena Glaze

Gena@GenaGlaze.com

843-343-8239

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New $30M Pool Club is Coming to Summerville!

Lennar, The homebuilder behind Summers Corner, a master-planned community in Summerville, has introduced designs for the $30 million Club at Summers Corner.

The aquatic amenity at the corner of Clayfield Trail and Summers Drive will have 2 acres of water with four swimming areas, restaurants, water slides, an adults-only tiki hut bar with TV’s and kid-friendly areas with shallow water, mini-slides, waterfalls and splash pads. The aquatic amenity will also feature “Beachside Bay” which rounds out the pool amenity with a more relaxing vibe, with a zero entry (gradual slope) and possibly even some sand.

The future club pool, coming online at the earliest next summer, has something for everybody to beat the heat, said Jason Byham, Lennar’s division president.

Upon opening, the amenity will be residents-only, but Byham noted there’s potential to let nonresidents in for a fee down the line.

VIEW ALL HOMES FOR SALE IN SUMMERS CORNER

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S.C. Expects Another Million Residents by 2042

Post and Courier recently reported that South Carolina could grow to nearly 6.4 million residents by 2042 based on the state’s latest projections . The bulk of this growth is projected to be in 5 S.C. counties.

Five counties could see their populations increase by 49 percent or more from 2024 to 2042.

Horry County tops the list with an expected gain of 216,662 additional residents, which means a 53 percent population increase. 

Berkeley, Jasper, Lancaster and Spartanburg counties are expected to see gains between 49 and 51 percent.

The five counties are expected to see more than 80 percent of the statewide population growth. The projected increases in population are: Horry, 216,662; Spartanburg, 179,078; Greenville, 153,555; Berkeley, 130,232; and York, 119,111.

Every county touching the Atlantic Ocean is expected to gain residents. At the north end of the coast and home to Myrtle Beach and Conway, Horry County has been among the nation’s fastest-growing places for many years and would be South Carolina’s fastest-growing county. 

The tri-county Charleston metro area is expected to have more than 1 million residents in 2042, with the two inland counties — where there’s more undeveloped land — leading the gains. Berkeley County’s population could account for more than 70 percent of the growth, while the populations of Charleston and Dorchester counties are projected to increase by 8 and 11 percent, respectively.

Down the coast, the ever-growing Hilton Head/Beaufort/Bluffton area in Beaufort and Jasper counties could gain more than 45,000 residents.

South Carolina’s population was the most rapidly growing in the nation in 2023. The state had a slightly negative birth rate, with more deaths than births, so the population increase was entirely due to people moving to the state. 

The state’s projections use existing data and trends to look ahead nearly 20 years, and assume growth follows patterns seen today. Of course, those patterns could change. 

Read More at Post and Courier

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Housing Market Forecast For The Second Half of 2024

As we move into the second half of 2024, here’s what experts say you should expect for home prices, mortgage rates, and home sales.

Home Prices Are Expected To Climb Moderately

Home prices are forecasted to rise at a more normal pace. The graph below shows the latest forecasts from seven of the most trusted sources in the industry:

The reason for continued appreciation? The supply of homes for sale. Jessica Lautz, Deputy Chief Economist at the National Association of Realtors (NAR), explains:

“One thing that seems to be pretty solid is that home prices are going to continue to go up, and the reason is that we don’t have housing inventory.”

While inventory is up compared to the last couple of years, it’s still low overall. And because there still aren’t enough homes to go around, that’ll keep upward pressure on prices.

If you’re thinking of buying, the good news is you won’t have to deal with prices skyrocketing like they did during the pandemic. Just remember, prices aren’t expected to drop. They’ll continue climbing, just at a slower pace.

Mortgage Rates Are Forecast To Come Down Slightly

One of the best pieces of news for both buyers and sellers is that mortgage rates are expected to come down a bit, according to Fannie Mae, the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA), and NAR (see chart below):

When you buy, even a small drop in mortgage rates can make a big difference in your monthly payments. For sellers, lower rates will bring more buyers back into the market, which can help you sell faster and potentially at a higher price.

Home Sales Are Projected To Hold Steady

For 2024, the number of home sales will be about the same as last year and may even rise slightly. The graph below compares the 2024 home sales forecasts from Fannie MaeMBA, and NAR to the 4.8 million homes that sold last year:

The average of the three forecasts is about 5 million sales in 2024 – a small increase from 2023. Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist at NAR, explains why:

“Job gains, steady mortgage rates and the release of inventory from pent-up home sellers will lead to more sales.”

With more inventory available and mortgage rates expected to go down, a few more homes are expected to be sold this year compared to last year.

The average of the three forecasts is about 5 million sales in 2024 – a small increase from 2023. Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist at NAR, explains why:

“Job gains, steady mortgage rates and the release of inventory from pent-up home sellers will lead to more sales.”

With more inventory available and mortgage rates expected to go down, a few more homes are expected to be sold this year compared to last year. This means more people will be able to move.

If you have considered buying or selling, feel free to contact me anytime! I have 25 years’ experience and can help you navigate today’s market to reach your goals.

Gena Glaze

Data from KCM

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June 2024 – Charleston SC Market Statistics

SALES PRICE

The Median sales Price at the end of June in the Charleston MLS was $425,000 and the average sales price $646,792

The Median sale price in the Charleston market continues to stay in a tight band between $400k and $425k where it has been for most of the last 24+ months. In June, the Median Sale Price matched it’s all time high of approximately $425,000 – has remained at that level for three consecutive months.

The seasonal surge in median is trending about 3% above last year’s seasonal surge, suggesting that the current pricing in our market has a solid base for additional price gains.

WRIITEN SALES

Written sales market-wide finished +3% in June of ’24 versus June of ’23, the first year-over-year increase in 2024. This is an indicator of future sales.

Last week saw 281 properties go under contract market-wide.

The orange line represents ratified contracts by week last year…the green line is this year…and the blue line is the 15 year average for each week.

Follow the green line below.

 Using a median gives you the middle point of the data that is less likely to be skewed, Most experts believe it is best for tracking data Longterm.

 PRICE PER SQFT

While the median sales price is remaining in a tight band, The Average Sold Dollar per sqft remains at an all-time high, well above one year ago, indicating that consumers are getting a smaller house for the money and that homes are continuing to appreciate despite a stable median Sale Price

INVENTORY

2,113 New listings came on the market in June 2024 which is a 6.1 % increase over June of 2023 and year to date, there is a16.6% increase of new listings over 2023.

 Active Inventory stands at approximately 3,800 listings in mid July.

While this level of inventory is a significant increase over the 1,035 listing “floor” that we set in February of 2022, we still need roughly 4,300 additional listings market wide to achieve a balanced market (5 months of inventory)

The gap between the number of listings available for sale and the number of listings needed to maintain a balanced market is substantial. see chart below.

NEW CONSTRUCTION SALES

New construction represents 42% of all pending contracts in the MLS and new construction comprises about 38% of the closings.

DISTRESSED PROPERTIES

Foreclosures and Short Sales continue to hold at a combined 0.9% of all available listings currently. They are still at extremely low levels.

OVER-MILLION MARKET

We are at roughly double the monthly pre-pandemic sales levels of $1MM+ properties. This market segment remains surprisingly robust.

These statistics reflect the entire Charleston Metro area, but real estate is hyper-local and can vary by area and neighborhood. If you would like information about your neighborhood and home, please don’t hesitate to contact me!

Gena Glaze

843-343-8239

Gena@GenaGlaze.com

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May 2024 Market Review – Charleston Area Real Estate

At the end of May 2024, the median sales price closed out in the Charleston MLS at $425,000 and Median Days on Market was 12.

The current level of demand, although down 40% from 2021, is pacing around the 15 year average and is happening when interest rates are the highest that they have been in 20-25 years . Further, prices are hovering at their record highs and have been for aproximately18 months. This means that affordability is more challenging than it has been for the last few decades (high prices + high rates) and yet sales sit at a historically appropriate level in terms of units. This suggests that the consumer wants and/or needs housing to the point where they are willing to deal with affordability issues – at least for now.

The chart below shows this year’s number of ratified contracts market wide by week (green), last year’s number (orange) and the 15 year average (blue). As you can see, the green line has tracked very closely with the blue line with only two weeks well below the 15 year average and one week well above the 15 year average.

Supply

When a life change occurs (Marriage, death, additions to a family, new job, etc) frequently, housing needs change which often leads to a new listing entering the housing market.

Over the last few years, we’ve seen a pause in this cycle as interest rates have risen rapidly from the 3 percent range into the mid 7 percent range. Homeowners who have a mortgage in place at a very low interest rate are reluctant to part with that low rate and move into a home, with a higher rate, that may better suits their needs.

According to ICE Mortgage Technology, over 90% of the mortgages in the United States have a mortgage rate under 6%.

See below from ICE:

Change still happens in people’s lives and homeowners can only hold back for so long. They will eventually list their homes (move) when the life circumstances dictate the need is great, despite the rate differential. We have been seeing this happen.

This trend started in November of 2023. In the chart below, the orange line shows listings taken in the most recent 12 months and the blue line shows the prior 12 months. You’ll note that, inside the red circle (November onward), new listings taken have outpaced the prior year every month.

A Balanced Market

A “balanced market” is generally considered to be when we have around 5 months of inventory, meaning that the current level of listings, if no new properties enter the market, would sell down to zero in five months based on current sales levels. On average, it would take five months (150 days) to sell a home.

Months of inventory” is simply a way of measuring supply and demand, which of course is what drives pricing.

  • At roughly five months of inventory, home prices stabilize
  • If we have less than five months of inventory, prices generally increase
  • If we have more than 5-6 months of inventory, prices generally soften

Where is the Charleston housing market’s month’s of supply currently?

At May’s end MLS stats reflected approximately 2.6 month’s supply of inventory, still leaning toward a Seller’s market.

Below is to illustrate the gap (red arrow) between the inventory that we have (blue line) and the inventory that we need in order to have a balanced market (yellow line):

What does this mean?

  • For now, we don’t have enough inventory to meet demand (although inventory is slowly building)
  • Too little inventory for demand means that there is good support for current prices and perhaps a little more room for prices to grow

Worth noting:

  • Over the last 4 years or so, the market has been so imbalanced in favor of sellers that we now often see listing agents and/or sellers get uncomfortable/nervous/start to panic after a mere week or two on the market without a sale
  • What we’ve experienced over the last few years has skewed expectations to the point where favorable selling conditions that aren’t quite a “hot” market feels like things are “slow”

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Charleston-Area Employers are Buying Property and Building to Create Affordable Housing for Workers.

Area businesses are struggling to recruit new staff due to housing costs and some are taking matters into their own hands.

The Post and Courier recently reported that Cynthia Feldman of Sweetgrass Pharmacy who has looked for job applicants across South Carolina and into Georgia, stated. “The number one thing they all said is it’s too expensive to live here,”

The owner of Sweetgrass Pharmacy is now purchasing three townhomes in Twin Rivers Towns, just across the Wando River from Mount Pleasant. The homes start in the mid-$300,000 range. She will rent them to staff at below market rates and is considering buying more.

Likewise, Roper St. Francis Hospital is now soliciting proposals to build housing on its campus in northern Mount Pleasant to offer as an affordable solution. “The need is so pervasive,” said Roper’s interim CEO Megan Baker. “We do have a sense of urgency that’s palpable.”

Sweetgrass and Roper could be the first Charleston-area businesses to decide to buy or build housing in order to hire and retain employees, but they likely won’t be the last.

To be considered affordable, the cost of housing should not exceed 30 percent of one’s income. An annual income of $55,000, would translate to a monthly target housing cost of no more than $1,375, which is an amount that is getting harder to achieve.

In the tri-county area, the federal Department of Housing and Urban Development now considers a salary of $58,900 yearly to be “low income.”  To put that in perspective, In 2023 The SC Department of Employment and Workforce reported that the average annual wage across all occupations in South Carolina was $54,250 (based on 2,080 hours of work in a year at an hourly rate of $26.08). This was up $3,600 from the average salary of $50,650 in 2022, a 7.1 percent gain.

“As residents are required to live further away from the communities in which they work and engage, more cars are on major roads for longer amounts of time, leading to increased traffic across the region,” the Charleston Metro Chamber of Commerce said in April. “As individuals and families spend more than 30 percent of their income on housing expenses, less money is available to be spread across businesses in our region.”

“It’s taken a while for the business community to come around, but they are aware that housing is a workforce issue,” said Josh Dix, who handles advocacy for the Charleston Trident Association of Realtors and chaired Charleston County’s housing task force.

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Gena Glaze

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