Market Review – Charleston Area MLS- August Stats 2024

NEW SALES – Pending (Ratified contracts) Down -6% in August of ’24 versus August of ’23. See Chart below – The orange line represents ratified contracts by week last year…the green line is this year…and the blue line is the 15 year average for each week. Follow the green line below.

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*written sales (ratified contracts) reflect buyer sentiment and predict the number of closed sales in a month or two as ratified contracts typically close within 4-8 weeks.

CLOSED SALES 149I homes closed in August 2024 down -7.9% from August of 2023

MEDIAN SALES PRICE The Median sale price in the Charleston market $422,670, up 5.67% from August 2023 and has continued to stay in a tight band between $400k and $425k for most of the last 26+ months.

The Average sales price was $617,873, up 11.54% from August of 2024

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AVERAGE SOLD PRICE PER SQFT  While the median sales price is remaining in a tight band, The Average Sold Dollar per sqft remains near an all-time high, at about $291 / SQFT. This means that homes are continuing to appreciate despite a stable median Sale Price

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SEASONAL STATS The seasonal surge in median price that is typically experienced in the spring/summer market trended about 6% above last year’s seasonal surge, suggesting that the current pricing in our market has a solid base and given low inventory levels relative to sales, could mean that additional price gains lie ahead.

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*Please note that all real estate is local; some local submarkets where there is a lot of new construction in close proximity and similarly priced are seeing prices advance more slowly.

INVENTORY Active Inventory was at approximately 4,000 listings in August, which is a significant increase over the 1,035 listing “floor” that we set in February of 2022. However, we need approximately 3,500 additional listings, market wide, to achieve a balanced market (5 months of inventory). The gap between the number of listings available for sale and the number of listings needed to maintain a balanced market is still substantial. see chart below

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Approximately 1,928 new listings came online in August, well ahead of last year’s numbers, which should help drive sales later this year.

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The Charleston market has about ten weeks of inventory as a whole, still leaning toward a seller’s market (this varies by price range and specific location). The most active areas have inventory levels are in the 4-6 week range.

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NEW CONSTRUCTION New construction represents 45% of all pending contracts in the MLS and comprises about 36% of the closings

FORECLOSURES AND SHORT SALES Foreclosures and Short Sale combined are at 0.9% of all available listings. This is down from 1.8% of all available listings on 1/1/2020. This are very few “newly distressed” properties in the pipeline.

Record home equity is driving the historically low delinquency rate along with high levels of employment. Homeowners do not want to lose their equity.

MILLION DOLLAR PLUS MARKET We are at roughly double the monthly pre-pandemic sales levels of $1MM+ properties. This market segment remains robust.

If you would like more market information or have a real estate need, don’t hesitate to contact me!

Gena Glaze



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JULY 2024 Market Review – Charleston Area Real Estate

The Real estate market is still active and the median sales price continues to remain steady – It has been roughly between 400k and 425K for over 24 months. Inventory is still below what is needed for a balanced market, but new listings are rising. Below are July 2024 calculations.

PRICE: The median sales price was $425,473, up about 5% from July 2023. The average sales price was $658,344. The median price per sqft was $228 and the average was $300 / sqft

NEW SALES: Pending sales for July were at 2,139 up 15.3 from July 2023

SUPPLY: There were 2139 New Listings in July 2024 – up 15.6%. The median days on market was 20, with approximately 2.9 months of inventory. Still under the 5 months of inventory recommended for a balanced market.

CLOSED SALES: 382 properties closed in July 2024 which is up 10 percent from July of 2023.

Gena Glaze

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Joseph S. Daning Amphitheater Opening Soon in Goose Creek SC

Located behind City Hall beside the Recreation Complex, the new Joseph S. Daning Amphitheater opens Sept. 6, 2024. 

With exciting amenities including a food truck court, eat-in pavilion, stage-front dance floor, public restroom facility, and lakeside views, the Amphitheater encourages people to gather as a community and enjoy a variety of public performances.

Gena Glaze

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Where High-Earning Households Are Moving – 2024 Study – SC #4

 SmartAsset examined the latest IRS data to find where households earning $200,000 annually or more are moving.

North Carolina and South Carolina ranked third and fourth for most high-earning households moving in, with a net gain of 5,792 and 5,270 households, respectively. The average household income of high-earning households moving in is $456,000 for North Carolina and $501,000 for South Carolina. 

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Gena Glaze

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America’s Top States for Business 2024 – SC Ranks No. 19

The Palmetto State finished No. 19 in the 2024 America’s Top States for Business list released by cable news network CNBC. That’s up from a No. 27 finish in 2023 — and far better than its 36th-place showing two years ago and its No. 39 ranking in 2021.

CNBC gave South Carolina grade A scores in several categories, citing its low corporate tax rate and utility costs and the increasing value of goods shipped by air, water, roads and rail.

Last year SC had $9.22 billion in economic development announcements. The Port of Charleston also helped boost South Carolina’s standing as it contributes an $87 billion economic impact each year.

Charleston Port is the country’s eighth-busiest seaport and is boasted as the deepest harbor on the East Coast, efficiently working mega container ships.

Gena Glaze

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Mortgage Rates Down a Full Percent from Recent High

After the latest reports on the economy, inflation, the unemployment rate, and the Federal Reserve’s recent comments, mortgage rates started dropping. And according to Freddie Mac, they’re now at a level we haven’t seen since February – see graph below:

The Relationship Between Rates and Demand 

In the housing market, there’s generally a relationship between mortgage rates and buyer demand. As rates go down, buyer demand typically increases. Buyers who were on the fence over higher rates may resume their searches.

A recent article from Bankrate says:

If you’re ready to buy, now might be the time to strike. Home prices have been rising primarily because of a longstanding shortage of homes for sale. That’s unlikely to change, and if mortgage rates do fall below 6%, it’s possible buyers would enter the market in masse, further pushing up prices and resurrecting bidding wars.”

If you’re ready to start the process, I’d love to help! Feel Free to contact me anytime!

Gena Glaze

Gena@GenaGlaze.com

843-343-8239

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New $30M Pool Club is Coming to Summerville!

Lennar, The homebuilder behind Summers Corner, a master-planned community in Summerville, has introduced designs for the $30 million Club at Summers Corner.

The aquatic amenity at the corner of Clayfield Trail and Summers Drive will have 2 acres of water with four swimming areas, restaurants, water slides, an adults-only tiki hut bar with TV’s and kid-friendly areas with shallow water, mini-slides, waterfalls and splash pads. The aquatic amenity will also feature “Beachside Bay” which rounds out the pool amenity with a more relaxing vibe, with a zero entry (gradual slope) and possibly even some sand.

The future club pool, coming online at the earliest next summer, has something for everybody to beat the heat, said Jason Byham, Lennar’s division president.

Upon opening, the amenity will be residents-only, but Byham noted there’s potential to let nonresidents in for a fee down the line.

VIEW ALL HOMES FOR SALE IN SUMMERS CORNER

Gena Glaze

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S.C. Expects Another Million Residents by 2042

Post and Courier recently reported that South Carolina could grow to nearly 6.4 million residents by 2042 based on the state’s latest projections . The bulk of this growth is projected to be in 5 S.C. counties.

Five counties could see their populations increase by 49 percent or more from 2024 to 2042.

Horry County tops the list with an expected gain of 216,662 additional residents, which means a 53 percent population increase. 

Berkeley, Jasper, Lancaster and Spartanburg counties are expected to see gains between 49 and 51 percent.

The five counties are expected to see more than 80 percent of the statewide population growth. The projected increases in population are: Horry, 216,662; Spartanburg, 179,078; Greenville, 153,555; Berkeley, 130,232; and York, 119,111.

Every county touching the Atlantic Ocean is expected to gain residents. At the north end of the coast and home to Myrtle Beach and Conway, Horry County has been among the nation’s fastest-growing places for many years and would be South Carolina’s fastest-growing county. 

The tri-county Charleston metro area is expected to have more than 1 million residents in 2042, with the two inland counties — where there’s more undeveloped land — leading the gains. Berkeley County’s population could account for more than 70 percent of the growth, while the populations of Charleston and Dorchester counties are projected to increase by 8 and 11 percent, respectively.

Down the coast, the ever-growing Hilton Head/Beaufort/Bluffton area in Beaufort and Jasper counties could gain more than 45,000 residents.

South Carolina’s population was the most rapidly growing in the nation in 2023. The state had a slightly negative birth rate, with more deaths than births, so the population increase was entirely due to people moving to the state. 

The state’s projections use existing data and trends to look ahead nearly 20 years, and assume growth follows patterns seen today. Of course, those patterns could change. 

Read More at Post and Courier

Gena Glaze

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Housing Market Forecast For The Second Half of 2024

As we move into the second half of 2024, here’s what experts say you should expect for home prices, mortgage rates, and home sales.

Home Prices Are Expected To Climb Moderately

Home prices are forecasted to rise at a more normal pace. The graph below shows the latest forecasts from seven of the most trusted sources in the industry:

The reason for continued appreciation? The supply of homes for sale. Jessica Lautz, Deputy Chief Economist at the National Association of Realtors (NAR), explains:

“One thing that seems to be pretty solid is that home prices are going to continue to go up, and the reason is that we don’t have housing inventory.”

While inventory is up compared to the last couple of years, it’s still low overall. And because there still aren’t enough homes to go around, that’ll keep upward pressure on prices.

If you’re thinking of buying, the good news is you won’t have to deal with prices skyrocketing like they did during the pandemic. Just remember, prices aren’t expected to drop. They’ll continue climbing, just at a slower pace.

Mortgage Rates Are Forecast To Come Down Slightly

One of the best pieces of news for both buyers and sellers is that mortgage rates are expected to come down a bit, according to Fannie Mae, the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA), and NAR (see chart below):

When you buy, even a small drop in mortgage rates can make a big difference in your monthly payments. For sellers, lower rates will bring more buyers back into the market, which can help you sell faster and potentially at a higher price.

Home Sales Are Projected To Hold Steady

For 2024, the number of home sales will be about the same as last year and may even rise slightly. The graph below compares the 2024 home sales forecasts from Fannie MaeMBA, and NAR to the 4.8 million homes that sold last year:

The average of the three forecasts is about 5 million sales in 2024 – a small increase from 2023. Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist at NAR, explains why:

“Job gains, steady mortgage rates and the release of inventory from pent-up home sellers will lead to more sales.”

With more inventory available and mortgage rates expected to go down, a few more homes are expected to be sold this year compared to last year.

The average of the three forecasts is about 5 million sales in 2024 – a small increase from 2023. Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist at NAR, explains why:

“Job gains, steady mortgage rates and the release of inventory from pent-up home sellers will lead to more sales.”

With more inventory available and mortgage rates expected to go down, a few more homes are expected to be sold this year compared to last year. This means more people will be able to move.

If you have considered buying or selling, feel free to contact me anytime! I have 25 years’ experience and can help you navigate today’s market to reach your goals.

Gena Glaze

Data from KCM

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June 2024 – Charleston SC Market Statistics

SALES PRICE

The Median sales Price at the end of June in the Charleston MLS was $425,000 and the average sales price $646,792

The Median sale price in the Charleston market continues to stay in a tight band between $400k and $425k where it has been for most of the last 24+ months. In June, the Median Sale Price matched it’s all time high of approximately $425,000 – has remained at that level for three consecutive months.

The seasonal surge in median is trending about 3% above last year’s seasonal surge, suggesting that the current pricing in our market has a solid base for additional price gains.

WRIITEN SALES

Written sales market-wide finished +3% in June of ’24 versus June of ’23, the first year-over-year increase in 2024. This is an indicator of future sales.

Last week saw 281 properties go under contract market-wide.

The orange line represents ratified contracts by week last year…the green line is this year…and the blue line is the 15 year average for each week.

Follow the green line below.

 Using a median gives you the middle point of the data that is less likely to be skewed, Most experts believe it is best for tracking data Longterm.

 PRICE PER SQFT

While the median sales price is remaining in a tight band, The Average Sold Dollar per sqft remains at an all-time high, well above one year ago, indicating that consumers are getting a smaller house for the money and that homes are continuing to appreciate despite a stable median Sale Price

INVENTORY

2,113 New listings came on the market in June 2024 which is a 6.1 % increase over June of 2023 and year to date, there is a16.6% increase of new listings over 2023.

 Active Inventory stands at approximately 3,800 listings in mid July.

While this level of inventory is a significant increase over the 1,035 listing “floor” that we set in February of 2022, we still need roughly 4,300 additional listings market wide to achieve a balanced market (5 months of inventory)

The gap between the number of listings available for sale and the number of listings needed to maintain a balanced market is substantial. see chart below.

NEW CONSTRUCTION SALES

New construction represents 42% of all pending contracts in the MLS and new construction comprises about 38% of the closings.

DISTRESSED PROPERTIES

Foreclosures and Short Sales continue to hold at a combined 0.9% of all available listings currently. They are still at extremely low levels.

OVER-MILLION MARKET

We are at roughly double the monthly pre-pandemic sales levels of $1MM+ properties. This market segment remains surprisingly robust.

These statistics reflect the entire Charleston Metro area, but real estate is hyper-local and can vary by area and neighborhood. If you would like information about your neighborhood and home, please don’t hesitate to contact me!

Gena Glaze

843-343-8239

Gena@GenaGlaze.com

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